Volume 21, Issue 4 (1-2023)
jhosp 2023, 21(4): 22-35 |
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Biglarkhani A, Abbasi R, Sanaei M. Medicine Consumption Forecasting in Hospitals using Long Short-Term Memory Model. jhosp 2023; 21 (4) :22-35
URL: http://jhosp.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6568-en.html
URL: http://jhosp.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6568-en.html
1- Ph.D. Student, Department of Information Technology Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran.
2- Assistant Professor, Faculty of Electrical, Biomedical and Mechatronics Engineering, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran. rezvanabbasi@yahoo.com
3- Assistant Professor, Department of Information Technology Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran.
2- Assistant Professor, Faculty of Electrical, Biomedical and Mechatronics Engineering, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran. rezvanabbasi@yahoo.com
3- Assistant Professor, Department of Information Technology Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran.
Abstract: (943 Views)
Background and Objectives
In recent years, medicine supply chain management has become more significant, especially after the Covid-19 pandemic. The most important issue is supply chain cost control. If the drug inventory is not properly managed, it will lead to issues such as the lack of inventory of certain drugs, provision of excess inventory, increased costs, and, finally, patient dissatisfaction.
Materials and Methods
In this study, an attempt has been made to predict and manage the pharmaceutical needs of hospitals using an efficient deep-learning algorithm. The drug consumption data for ten years of Besat General Hospital in Hamedan are extracted from the HIS database. As a case study, the accuracy of the predictive model is evaluated, especially for cefazolin. We use a deep model to analyze the medical time-series data efficiently. This model consists of a Long Short-Term Memory network, which can sufficiently recognize the change history in time-series prediction applications. The proposed model with many adjustable parameters in the deep architecture will bring good performance to overcome the complexities of the learning problem.
Results
Using the deep learning method can increase robustness by reducing the effects of complexity and uncertainty in medical data. The average forecasting error for the proposed method is 0.043, and the measured values for RMSE, MAE, andR
Conclusion
A comprehensive comparison between some other predictive methods and the implemented model shows the outperformance of the proposed approach. Additionally, the evaluation results indicate the efficiency of the proposed approach.
In recent years, medicine supply chain management has become more significant, especially after the Covid-19 pandemic. The most important issue is supply chain cost control. If the drug inventory is not properly managed, it will lead to issues such as the lack of inventory of certain drugs, provision of excess inventory, increased costs, and, finally, patient dissatisfaction.
Materials and Methods
In this study, an attempt has been made to predict and manage the pharmaceutical needs of hospitals using an efficient deep-learning algorithm. The drug consumption data for ten years of Besat General Hospital in Hamedan are extracted from the HIS database. As a case study, the accuracy of the predictive model is evaluated, especially for cefazolin. We use a deep model to analyze the medical time-series data efficiently. This model consists of a Long Short-Term Memory network, which can sufficiently recognize the change history in time-series prediction applications. The proposed model with many adjustable parameters in the deep architecture will bring good performance to overcome the complexities of the learning problem.
Results
Using the deep learning method can increase robustness by reducing the effects of complexity and uncertainty in medical data. The average forecasting error for the proposed method is 0.043, and the measured values for RMSE, MAE, and
Conclusion
A comprehensive comparison between some other predictive methods and the implemented model shows the outperformance of the proposed approach. Additionally, the evaluation results indicate the efficiency of the proposed approach.
Type of Study: Case Study |
Subject:
مدیریت فناوری اطلاعات و مدارک پزشکی در بیمارستان
Received: 2022/11/17 | Accepted: 2023/03/4 | Published: 2023/05/17
Received: 2022/11/17 | Accepted: 2023/03/4 | Published: 2023/05/17
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